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People Signals · tracking

Leopold Aschenbrenner

AI-focused investor and managing partner associated with Situational Awareness LP; public U.S. holdings are disclosed quarterly through SEC filings.

No performance verdict. This profile records public statements. It does not establish current holdings, exact executions, or a profitable follow strategy.

Method

How this profile is tracked

Treat the fund filing—not commentary about the fund—as the authoritative event. Preserve the quarter-end date, filing timestamp, security type, and disclosure lag.

2026-05-18Period ended 2026-03-31

Situational Awareness LP Q1 2026 holdings

owned

Official quarterly filing used as the authoritative portfolio event. The strategy reconstructs only eligible common-stock lines after publication and does not equate reported options notional with capital at risk.

SEC Form 13F filing ↗
regulatory filing
2026-02-11Period ended 2025-12-31

Situational Awareness LP Q4 2025 holdings

owned

Prior official filing retained for point-in-time weight changes. It predates the frozen tracker and is development history, not prospective validation evidence.

SEC Form 13F filing ↗
regulatory filing
2025-11-14Period ended 2025-09-30

Situational Awareness LP Q3 2025 holdings

owned

Historical filing available for development and lag-aware replay. It is not counted as a live signal captured after strategy registration.

SEC Form 13F filing ↗
regulatory filing

Executable strategy · SPECIFICATION FROZEN

Situational Awareness Long-Equity Tracker

Test whether a delayed, investable reconstruction of the fund's publicly disclosed U.S. common-stock holdings outperforms after filing lag and costs.

SALTFrozen 2026-07-20No performance verdict
Entry
At each new 13F publication, include common-stock positions disclosed by Situational Awareness LP. Enter only after the filing is public.
Sizing
Use disclosed market-value weights across eligible common stocks, cap each position at 20%, renormalize the remainder, and hold residual allocation in cash.
Trim
Rebalance to the newly disclosed capped weight at the next regular-session open after filing.
Exit
Exit an eligible security when it disappears from the next filing or becomes ineligible under the frozen security-type rules.
Execution
Use the next regular-session open after the SEC acceptance timestamp. Apply 10 basis points to every buy and sell.
Benchmark
QQQ total return over identical rebalance dates, with SPY retained as a secondary reference
Excluded
Put and call positions · Private investments · Direct shorts and swaps · Foreign securities absent from Form 13F · Intra-quarter changes · Schedule 13G positions until a separate rule is frozen

Validation boundary

What happens next

  1. Confirm each item against the original recording and the investor's own dated channels.
  2. Classify thesis, claimed position, add, trim, exit, and correction separately.
  3. Use the first market price after public release—not a private or estimated entry.
  4. Track all calls prospectively, including abandoned ideas and losses.
  5. Publish a verdict only after a frozen sample and chronological holdout.