Situational Awareness Long-Equity Tracker
Lag-aware 13F portfolio tracker
Inconclusive — the tracker rules are frozen, but no post-registration 13F has yet produced a prospective rebalance.
- Category
- Equities
- Window
- Prospective tracking begins with the next filing after 2026-07-20
- Instruments
- U.S.-listed common stocks disclosed by Situational Awareness LP
- Timeframe
- Quarterly event-driven rebalance
- Tested
- 2026-07-20
Pending validation
A scaled equity curve appears here once this strategy clears the data needed to compute one honestly. We don't show a curve we can't stand behind.
See what the gates require →How it works
BackfillingThe bet
What market behavior this strategy is wagering on.
Plain-English explainer is backfilling — check back tomorrow. We publish the explanation only once it's written and reviewed, never auto-filled.
How it decides
What makes it enter, size, and exit a position.
Plain-English explainer is backfilling — check back tomorrow. We publish the explanation only once it's written and reviewed, never auto-filled.
How it can break
The regimes and failure modes that turn the edge negative.
Plain-English explainer is backfilling — check back tomorrow. We publish the explanation only once it's written and reviewed, never auto-filled.
Verdict: inconclusive — specification frozen, next filing awaited
This strategy is a delayed public-filings tracker inspired by named portfolio products, but built as validation research rather than an auto-trading service.
Frozen rules
- Source: Situational Awareness LP Form 13F filings from SEC EDGAR, identified by CIK
0002045724. - Eligible securities: U.S.-listed common-stock lines only.
- Entry and rebalance: next regular-session open after the filing’s SEC acceptance timestamp.
- Weights: reported market-value weights across eligible holdings, capped at 20% per issuer and then renormalized.
- Cash: residual allocation remains cash; no leverage is introduced.
- Exit: a holding absent from the next filing is sold at the next open after that filing becomes public.
- Costs: 10 basis points on each purchase and sale.
- Excluded: calls, puts, private assets, direct shorts, swaps, non-13F foreign positions, and inferred intra-quarter trades.
- Primary benchmark: QQQ total return over identical rebalance dates; SPY is retained as a secondary market reference.
Historical filings can be replayed only as development evidence. Prospective scoring begins with the first qualifying filing published after this specification was frozen.
Frequently asked
Does this reproduce the full Situational Awareness fund?
No. Form 13F is delayed and incomplete: it does not reveal cash, direct shorts, swaps, private investments, or every foreign position. This strategy tests only an investable reconstruction of disclosed common stocks.
Why are puts and calls excluded?
The reported value of a listed option line can represent notional exposure rather than premium or capital at risk. Without strikes, expirations, and portfolio context, copying those weights would fabricate exposure.
Methodology: 11-gate validation — pre-registered spec, 11-gate battery, real market data.Author: Validated Research Team (Methodology v1.0 — 11-gate validation). Backtests are not investment advice.